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Desportivo de Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between Desportivo de Nacala and 1º de Maio de Quelimane finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo de Nacala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportivo de Nacala
44%
Draws
20%
1º de Maio de Quelimane
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportivo de Nacala haven't matched 1º de Maio de Quelimane's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Desportivo de Nacala Clean Sheet 18%
1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo de Nacala 1º de Maio de Quelimane
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2018 Mocambola
1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Desportivo de Nacala
1:0
Jun 17, 2018 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane
3:1
Sep 10, 2017 Mocambola
Desportivo de Nacala vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane
0:0
May 7, 2017 Mocambola
1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Desportivo de Nacala
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Mocambola
1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Desportivo de Nacala
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo de Nacala 36 / 100
1º de Maio de Quelimane 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo de Nacala 1º de Maio de Quelimane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio de Quelimane let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Desportivo de Nacala scored in 50% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Desportivo de Nacala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo de Nacala VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo de Nacala

(Home)
23 Nov
Textafrica
3 : 1
Desportivo de Nacala
16 Nov
Desportivo Matola
2 : 1
Desportivo de Nacala
12 Nov
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Desportivo de Nacala
09 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
0 : 0
Desportivo de Nacala
24 Oct
Desportivo de Nacala
2 : 2
Ferroviario Lichinga
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1º de Maio de Quelimane

(Away)
03 Nov
Costa do Sol
2 : 2
1º de Maio de Quelimane
28 Oct
1º de Maio de Quelimane
1 : 1
UD Songo
21 Oct
UP de Manica
2 : 0
1º de Maio de Quelimane
07 Oct
1º de Maio de Quelimane
1 : 0
Desportivo de Nacala
23 Sept
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
1º de Maio de Quelimane
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo30177638:2658
2Ferroviario Maputo301731030:2354
3Liga Desportivo Maputo30156937:2551
4Ferroviario Nampula30138946:3447
5Maxaquene301111834:2844
6Chibuto301110939:2443
7Textafrica301191026:3442
8Costa do Sol30913824:1740
9Ferroviario Beira301091137:2839
10Desportivo de Nacala301081224:2338
11ENH Vilankulo301081221:2638
12Incomati Xinavane308111119:2135
13Ferroviario Nacala308111118:2635
14UP de Manica308101224:3434
151º de Maio de Quelimane30881424:3632
16Sporting Nampula30481819:5520
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2018/2019 (Qualification)