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Desportivo Maputo vs Maxaquene

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Desportivo Maputo
35%
Draws
32%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Desportivo Maputo at 0.73 per game, Maxaquene at 0.66.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Maputo Maxaquene
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Maxaquene
1:1
Aug 6, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Desportivo Maputo
0:2
Jul 16, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Maxaquene
1:4
Mar 13, 2016 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Desportivo Maputo
3:1
Aug 23, 2015 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Maxaquene
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Maputo 32 / 100
Maxaquene 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Maputo Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Maxaquene conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Maxaquene lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo Maputo scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Maputo VS Maxaquene
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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Maxaquene

(Away)
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Maxaquene
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
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