Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Desportivo Moncao

1 - 1

Tirsense

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Baptista D.

45'

Kitoko I.

45'

Kitoko I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Desportivo Moncao and Tirsense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Desportivo Moncao

Draws

90%

Tirsense

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Tirsense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 15%

Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desportivo Moncao	Tirsense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	11
Draws	6	13
Losses	19	6
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Tirsense vs Desportivo Moncao

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Desportivo Moncao vs Tirsense

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Desportivo Moncao vs Tirsense

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

1:4

Sep 24, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Tirsense vs Desportivo Moncao

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Moncao Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Moncao 10 / 100

Tirsense 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desportivo Moncao Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Moncao scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo Moncao VS Tirsense

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GD Braganca	26	14	6	6	41:29	48
2	SC Vianense	26	14	6	6	49:28	48
3	Brito	26	14	4	8	36:24	46
4	Celoricense	26	11	9	6	35:23	42
5	AD Limianos	26	11	8	7	35:32	41
6	Tirsense	26	9	13	4	31:22	40
7	Camacha	26	9	9	8	34:26	36
8	Chaves B	26	9	9	8	40:29	36
9	Machico	26	10	6	10	28:30	36
10	Sao Martinho	26	10	4	12	22:31	34
11	SC Mirandela	26	10	2	14	21:29	32
12	Vilaverdense FC	26	4	9	13	15:31	21
13	CD Ribeira Brava	26	4	8	14	20:46	20
14	Desportivo Moncao	26	4	5	17	26:53	17