Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2016

GD Varandinha

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desportivo Praia play GD Varandinha in the Campeonato Nacional 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desportivo Praia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. GD Varandinha averaged 1 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Desportivo Praia won 0, GD Varandinha won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2016 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Desportivo Praia and 0.86 for GD Varandinha. This points to a Desportivo Praia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Desportivo Praia

26%

Draws

25%

GD Varandinha

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Desportivo Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Desportivo Praia picked up more points recently compared to GD Varandinha.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Desportivo Praia Clean Sheet 25%

GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desportivo Praia	GD Varandinha
Matches Played	12	31
Wins	7	5
Draws	2	9
Losses	3	17
Goals Scored	1.67	1
Goals Conceded	0.92	1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2016 Campeonato Nacional

Desportivo Praia vs GD Varandinha

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo Praia 49 / 100

GD Varandinha 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desportivo Praia GD Varandinha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desportivo Praia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desportivo Praia attacking → ← attacking GD Varandinha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo Praia scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

GD Varandinha let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Desportivo Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

GD Varandinha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 24

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Derby	5	4	1	0	8:2	13
2	GD Varandinha	5	3	1	1	9:4	10
3	Desportivo Praia	5	2	1	2	7:6	7
4	Sporting da Brava	5	2	0	3	6:7	6
5	SC Atletico	5	1	1	3	5:10	4
6	Sinagoga	5	0	2	3	4:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	5	3	2	0	11:3	11
2	Academica Porto Novo	5	3	2	0	6:1	11
3	Academico do Sal	5	2	1	2	4:4	7
4	Academico 83	5	1	2	2	5:8	5
5	Sport Sal-Rei	5	1	1	3	8:11	4
6	Vulcanico	5	1	0	4	2:9	3