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Desportivo vs Portuguesa Santista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pablo
34' Event
Nathan Oliveira
Own Goal
47' Event
Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

Desportivo host Portuguesa Santista in the Paulista A3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Desportivo at 0.43 goals for, 1.57 against; Portuguesa Santista at 1.75 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Desportivo have won 1 to Portuguesa Santista's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 0.46 vs 1.66, favoring Portuguesa Santista. Portuguesa Santista in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Desportivo
6%
Draws
90%
Portuguesa Santista
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portuguesa Santista has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Desportivo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Portuguesa Santista.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A3 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 13%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Portuguesa Santista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.43 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Portuguesa Santista
0:4
Mar 18, 2018 Paulista A3
Portuguesa Santista vs Desportivo
2:0
Mar 8, 2017 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Portuguesa Santista
3:1
Oct 9, 2016 Paulista A4
Portuguesa Santista vs Desportivo
3:0
Oct 1, 2016 Paulista A4
Desportivo vs Portuguesa Santista
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo 10 / 100
Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Portuguesa Santista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Portuguesa Santista let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Desportivo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Portuguesa Santista lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo VS Portuguesa Santista
0.43 Goals Scored 1.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285