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Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportivo in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Desportivo
11%
Draws
80%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC have won more games recently than Desportivo.
  • Win probability leans Sao Jose EC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Mar 29, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Desportivo
1:2
Feb 15, 2023 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
0:1
Feb 3, 2022 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Desportivo
3:1
May 1, 2021 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo 11 / 100
Sao Jose EC 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Sao Jose EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sao Jose EC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Sao Jose EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo VS Sao Jose EC
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capivariano641111:813
2EC Sao Bernardo63129:410
3Marilia62135:67
4Matonense61145:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Prudente62318:79
2Sao Jose EC62226:68
3Desportivo62225:58
4Uniao Suzano62137:87