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Desportivo vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lu M.
55' Event
Goncalves K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportivo
44%
Draws
20%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Barbarense lately — more wins on the board than Desportivo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Uniao Barbarense
1:1
Mar 10, 2018 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Desportivo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo 36 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Uniao Barbarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Desportivo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Uniao Barbarense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Desportivo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo VS Uniao Barbarense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo

(Home)
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
14 Mar
Rio Preto EC
4 : 0
Desportivo
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0
Desportivo
07 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 1
Uniao Barbarense
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
Page 1 of 6

Uniao Barbarense

(Away)
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3
Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0
Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)