Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs Hasselt

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bounou M.
41' Event
Vanhaeren T.
45' Event
Teuchy T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Hasselt in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hasselt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dessel
20%
Draws
45%
Hasselt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dessel haven't matched Hasselt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hasselt a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dessel Clean Sheet 11%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel Hasselt
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.03 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Dessel
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Hasselt
2:7
Feb 1, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Hasselt
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Dessel
2:0
Aug 19, 2017 Belgian Cup
Dessel vs Hasselt
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngoyi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Keilegom A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounou M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vanhaeren T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 10 / 100
Hasselt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel Hasselt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hasselt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Hasselt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Dessel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS Hasselt
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
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Hasselt

(Away)
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Hasselt
4 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
01 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
1 : 4
Hasselt
25 Jul
KSK Tongeren
0 : 10
Hasselt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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