Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Detroit City vs Charleston

USA USA

USL Championship Keyworth Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Detroit City play Charleston in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Detroit City averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Charleston averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Detroit City won 1, Charleston won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Detroit City and 2.06 for Charleston. This points to a Charleston double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Detroit City
26%
Draws
38%
Charleston
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Detroit City picked up more points recently compared to Charleston.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 10%
Charleston Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Detroit City Charleston
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Detroit City
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Charleston
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Detroit City
1:1
May 24, 2025 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Charleston
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Detroit City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Detroit City Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Charleston Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Detroit City 34 / 100
Charleston 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Detroit City Charleston

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Charleston or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Detroit City attacking → ← attacking Charleston

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Detroit City scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Charleston let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Detroit City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Charleston lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 46
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1346310:1118
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1244422:1616
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1576223:1627
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
7FC Tulsa1354417:1619
8Lexington1353521:1618
9Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
10Sacramento Republic1244413:1216
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215