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Devonport vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tooze S.
24' Event
Tollervey J.
57' Event
Tollervey J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Devonport and Clarence Zebras finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Devonport
15%
Draws
28%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Devonport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Devonport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Devonport Clean Sheet 16%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Clarence Zebras
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Devonport
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Devonport
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Clarence Zebras
7:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Clarence Zebras
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tooze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 84 / 100
Clarence Zebras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Clarence Zebras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Clarence Zebras conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Devonport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Clarence Zebras
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
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Clarence Zebras

(Away)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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