Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dillon R.
26' Event
Tollervey J.
69' Event
Layweh C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Devonport and Glenorchy Knights finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Devonport
15%
Draws
31%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenorchy Knights haven't matched Devonport's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Devonport taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Devonport Clean Sheet 20%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 3.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport
1:2
May 9, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Glenorchy Knights
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Layweh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Dillon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 85 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Glenorchy Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Glenorchy Knights's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Devonport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Glenorchy Knights
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
Page 1 of 7

Glenorchy Knights

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
Page 1 of 6