Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Devonport vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Gorrie A.
56' Event
Gorrie A.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Wright E.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania 2025 game between Devonport and South Hobart finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Devonport
15%
Draws
42%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • South Hobart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Devonport Clean Sheet 11%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport South Hobart
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 20 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 3.1 3.24
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
1:3
May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
0:3
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Devonport
2:2
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South Hobart
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorrie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 29 / 100
South Hobart 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Devonport scored in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

South Hobart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Devonport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS South Hobart
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
Page 1 of 7

South Hobart

(Away)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
Page 1 of 7