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Devonport vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Neutegem L.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Devonport and Ulverstone finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Devonport
6%
Draws
4%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Devonport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Devonport's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Devonport Clean Sheet 68%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Ulverstone
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Ulverstone
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Devonport
2:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Neutegem L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 95 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Devonport has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Ulverstone
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
04 Jul
Devonport
4 : 1
Riverside Olympic
28 Jun
Kingborough Lions
2 : 1
Devonport
20 Jun
Devonport
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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Ulverstone

(Away)
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
27 Jun
Riverside Olympic
6 : 0
Ulverstone
20 Jun
Launceston United
3 : 2
Ulverstone
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