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Diables Noirs vs Vegas

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vegas in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vegas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Diables Noirs
15%
Draws
49%
Vegas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diables Noirs lately — more wins on the board than Vegas.
  • Diables Noirs are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Diables Noirs Clean Sheet 20%
Vegas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diables Noirs Vegas
Matches Played 18 15
Wins 7 3
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.06 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Vegas
0:0
May 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Vegas
1:2
Jan 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Vegas vs Diables Noirs
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diables Noirs 42 / 100
Vegas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diables Noirs Vegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vegas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Diables Noirs scored in 50% of their last 18 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diables Noirs VS Vegas
0 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diables Noirs

(Home)
26 Oct
Otoho d'Oyo
2 : 0
Diables Noirs
23 Mar
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Diables Noirs
16 Mar
Diables Noirs
0 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
09 Mar
Diables Noirs
0 : 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne
01 Mar
Diables Noirs
2 : 1
CARA Brazzaville
Page 1 of 4

Vegas

(Away)
02 Jun
Etoile du Congo
3 : 0
Vegas
25 May
Nathalys
3 : 2
Vegas
17 May
Diables Noirs
1 : 2
Vegas
10 May
Vegas
1 : 2
Inter Club
05 May
Vegas
0 : 0
V.Club Mokanda
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leopard 26 15 7 4 33:14 52
2 Otoho d'Oyo 26 14 7 5 36:16 49
3 Inter Club 26 14 7 5 31:17 49
4 JS Talangai 26 12 5 9 24:25 41
5 Etoile du Congo 26 10 9 7 23:17 39
6 Diables Noirs 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
7 CARA Brazzaville 26 9 9 8 21:18 36
8 Cheminots 26 8 9 9 22:23 33
9 V.Club Mokanda 26 10 3 13 24:26 33
10 Kondzo 26 8 7 11 24:26 31
11 Juk 26 6 10 10 27:37 28
12 AS BNG 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Vegas 26 5 7 14 18:37 22
14 Nathalys 26 3 8 15 10:35 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)