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Diambars de Saly vs Guediawaye Prediction & H2H Stats

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Seck A. K.
61' Event
Sorry I.
75' Event
Sorry I.

AI Match Summary

Diambars de Saly in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diambars de Saly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Diambars de Saly
15%
Draws
34%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diambars de Saly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Guediawaye have won more games recently than Diambars de Saly.
  • Model gives Guediawaye a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 16%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diambars de Saly Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Guediawaye
2:1
Jan 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Guediawaye
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diambars de Saly Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorry I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Guediawaye Compare

Top Goalscorer Seck A. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diambars de Saly 23 / 100
Guediawaye 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diambars de Saly Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guediawaye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diambars de Saly's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guediawaye let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Guediawaye registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diambars de Saly VS Guediawaye
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diambars de Saly

(Home)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
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Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 26 14 8 4 31:18 50
2 ASC Jaraaf 26 11 13 2 30:12 46
3 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 26 10 11 5 29:15 41
4 Guediawaye 26 9 13 4 27:23 40
5 Pikine 26 9 11 6 20:14 38
6 Sonacos 26 7 12 7 16:16 33
7 US Goree 26 7 11 8 15:17 32
8 Jamono Fatick 26 8 7 11 25:25 31
9 Linguere 26 6 13 7 13:17 31
10 Ouakam 26 7 9 10 22:25 30
11 Generation Foot 26 6 11 9 15:24 29
12 Casa 26 7 6 13 18:29 27
13 Mbour 26 3 14 9 17:25 23
14 Diambars de Saly 26 4 9 13 25:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)