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Diamond Harbour vs Border Security Force - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Clayton S. d. S.
7' Event
Majcen L.
35' Event
Clayton S. d. S.

AI Match Summary

Diamond Harbour in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 8-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Diamond Harbour
15%
Draws
0%
Border Security Force
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diamond Harbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diamond Harbour lately — more wins on the board than Border Security Force.
  • Diamond Harbour are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Diamond Harbour have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Diamond Harbour, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Diamond Harbour Clean Sheet 20%
Border Security Force Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diamond Harbour Border Security Force
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 18 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.17 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 4.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Durand Cup
Diamond Harbour vs Border Security Force
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diamond Harbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayton S. d. S.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Majcen L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Border Security Force Compare

Top Goalscorer Kishori
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diamond Harbour 85 / 100
Border Security Force 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diamond Harbour Border Security Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diamond Harbour Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diamond Harbour scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Border Security Force let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Border Security Force lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diamond Harbour VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diamond Harbour

(Home)
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
03 May
Diamond Harbour
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
25 Apr
Chanmari
0 : 2
Diamond Harbour
Page 1 of 6

Border Security Force

(Away)
07 Aug
Border Security Force
0 : 3
Mohammedan
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
4 : 0
Border Security Force
01 Aug
Diamond Harbour
8 : 1
Border Security Force
12 Aug
Bodoland FC
4 : 3
Border Security Force
09 Aug
North East United
4 : 0
Border Security Force
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams