Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diarra vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Diarra Logo

Diarra

0 - 0
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Diarra
15%
Draws
37%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Diarra have won more games recently than Bougouba.
  • Win probability leans Diarra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Diarra
2:6
Jan 30, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bougouba
0:0
May 26, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bougouba
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Diarra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 95 / 100
Bougouba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Diarra's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Diarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Bougouba
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
02 Jun
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Diarra
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Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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