Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diarra vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Diarra
17%
Draws
13%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Diarra have won more games recently than Bougouba.
  • Win probability leans Diarra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Bougouba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Diarra
2:6
Jan 30, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bougouba
0:0
May 26, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bougouba
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Diarra
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 77 / 100
Bougouba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Bougouba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Diarra's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Diarra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Bougouba
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316