Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diarra vs Djoliba

Mali Mali

Coupe du Mali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Diarra
20%
Draws
40%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Djoliba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Djoliba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Djoliba, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Djoliba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Diarra Clean Sheet 15%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Djoliba
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 16 22
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
1:2
May 30, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
0:0
Jun 3, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Diarra
5:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Djoliba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 30 / 100
Djoliba 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Djoliba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Diarra scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Diarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Djoliba let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Djoliba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

Djoliba

(Away)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stade Malien 9
AS Sofa 0
USFAS Bamako 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 1
Mali Coura 0
Djoliba 3
Tombouctou 1
Semi-finals
Stade Malien 0
Diarra 1
Real Bamako 0
Djoliba 1
Final
Diarra 0
Djoliba 2