Sport Picks

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Diarra vs Stade Malien

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Diarra Logo

Diarra

0 - 2
FT
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Diarra and Stade Malien finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Diarra
20%
Draws
44%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diarra come out ahead of Stade Malien on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Diarra Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diarra Stade Malien
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Stade Malien
0:2
May 16, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Stade Malien vs Diarra
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Diarra
2:0
May 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Stade Malien
0:3
Jan 23, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Diarra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diarra 31 / 100
Stade Malien 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diarra Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diarra found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Diarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Stade Malien has conceded goals in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diarra VS Stade Malien
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diarra

(Home)
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
02 Jun
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Diarra
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Stade Malien

(Away)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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