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Diegem vs Ninove - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mauen M.
17' Event
Colman J.
57' Event
Colman J.

AI Match Summary

Diegem in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Diegem
30%
Draws
41%
Ninove
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ninove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diegem lately — more wins on the board than Ninove.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Diegem Clean Sheet 10%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diegem Ninove
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.66 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.34 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Ninove
5:0
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Diegem
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sula D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ninove Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diegem 30 / 100
Ninove 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diegem Ninove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diegem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ninove's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Diegem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diegem VS Ninove
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Diegem

(Home)
04 Oct
Diegem
1 : 0
KSK Tongeren
30 Sept
De Kempen
1 : 1
Diegem
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
20 Sept
Diegem
2 : 2
Bocholter
13 Sept
St. Truiden 2
6 : 2
Diegem
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Ninove

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Lebbeke
5 : 0
Ninove
26 Sept
Ninove
7 : 4
KRC Gent
19 Sept
Ninove
4 : 2
Kalken
12 Sept
Oudenaarde
3 : 3
Ninove
05 Sept
Ninove
0 : 2
RFC Wetteren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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