Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diegem vs Ninove

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mauen M.
17' Event
Colman J.
57' Event
Colman J.

AI Match Summary

Diegem in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Diegem
15%
Draws
36%
Ninove
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diegem lately — more wins on the board than Ninove.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Diegem Clean Sheet 11%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diegem Ninove
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Ninove
5:0
Dec 6, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Diegem
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sula D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ninove Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diegem 30 / 100
Ninove 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diegem Ninove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diegem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ninove's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ninove registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diegem VS Ninove
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Diegem

(Home)
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
26 Apr
Diegem
2 : 3
Belisia Bilzen
19 Apr
Thes Sport
6 : 3
Diegem
12 Apr
SK Roeselare
2 : 2
Diegem
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
Page 1 of 6

Ninove

(Away)
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Apr
Hoogstraten
3 : 1
Ninove
11 Apr
Ninove
0 : 4
Knokke
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)