Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Difai Agsu vs MOIK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Qardasli K.
24' Event
Faracov S.
56' Event
Faracov S.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Difai Agsu and MOIK Baku finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Difai Agsu
22%
Draws
60%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MOIK Baku come out ahead of Difai Agsu on wins alone.
  • Model gives MOIK Baku a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • MOIK Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 13%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difai Agsu MOIK Baku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Difai Agsu
4:0
Mar 6, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Difai Agsu
2:1
Nov 27, 2025 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs MOIK Baku
1:2
Mar 27, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Difai Agsu
1:3
Dec 24, 2024 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs MOIK Baku
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Qardasli K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faracov S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difai Agsu 19 / 100
MOIK Baku 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difai Agsu MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difai Agsu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difai Agsu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Difai Agsu VS MOIK Baku
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Difai Agsu

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
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MOIK Baku

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)