Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Difai Agsu vs Shimal

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kamta K.
30' Event
Bektashoglu A.
50' Event
Ondo W.

AI Match Summary

Difai Agsu in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Difai Agsu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Difai Agsu
35%
Draws
40%
Shimal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Difai Agsu have won more games recently than Shimal.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shimal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Difai Agsu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 20%
Shimal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Difai Agsu Shimal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.18 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Shimal
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Difai Agsu
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Difai Agsu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamta K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bektashoglu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirinov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Difai Agsu 10 / 100
Shimal 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Difai Agsu Shimal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Difai Agsu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Difai Agsu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Difai Agsu VS Shimal
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Difai Agsu

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
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Shimal

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Cebrayil 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)