Sport Picks
Difai Agsu vs SumQayit FK Prediction & H2H Stats
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup 
Match Events
9'
9'
Vasquez R.
68'
68'
Qardasli K.
75'
75'
Vasquez R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Difai Agsu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
19%
/ Low Confidence
- Difai Agsu's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what SumQayit FK have produced (1.03).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor SumQayit FK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 12%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Difai Agsu | SumQayit FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 4, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Difai Agsu vs SumQayit FK
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Difai Agsu Compare
Top Goalscorer Qardasli K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
SumQayit FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Vasquez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramalingom A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Difai Agsu 30 / 100
SumQayit FK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Difai Agsu SumQayit FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SumQayit FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SumQayit FK conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Difai Agsu's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Difai Agsu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Difai Agsu VS SumQayit FK
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Difai Agsu
(Home) 21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0 Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1 Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0 Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1 Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4 Sabail
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0 Safa Baku
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4 Sabail
09 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 3 Sahdag Qusar
19 Mar
Difai Agsu
1 : 1 Gancabasar
12 Mar
Difai Agsu
1 : 3 Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 3
SumQayit FK
(Away) 20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1 SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1 Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3 Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1 SumQayit FK
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1 SumQayit FK
25 Apr
Imisli FK
0 : 2 SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1
