Sport Picks
Differdange vs Ettelbruck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 
Match Events
11'
11'
Benedict E.
Penalty Missed
13'
13'
Thill S.
Assist: Jean C.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue game between Differdange and Ettelbruck finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Differdange.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Ettelbruck haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Differdange's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Differdange have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Differdange Clean Sheet 20%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Differdange | Ettelbruck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Ettelbruck
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Ettelbruck
6:0
Aug 28, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Differdange
0:2
May 15, 2022 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs Differdange
0:2
Dec 12, 2021 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Ettelbruck
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Differdange Compare
Top Goalscorer Thill S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Ettelbruck Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Differdange 85 / 100
Ettelbruck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Differdange Ettelbruck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Differdange Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Differdange's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Ettelbruck has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Differdange remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Differdange VS Ettelbruck
3.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Differdange
(Home) 18 Oct
Victoria Rosport
3 : 5 Differdange
11 Oct
Differdange
6 : 0 FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5 Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0 Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
Differdange
6 : 0 FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0 Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1 Kaerjeng
23 Aug
Differdange
3 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
Page 1 of 4
Ettelbruck
(Away) 18 Oct
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
11 Oct
Ettelbruck
1 : 3 Dudelange
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1 Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1 Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0 Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Differdange | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 30:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Kaerjeng | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Racing Luxembourg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Bissen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progres Niedercorn | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Residence Walferdange | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:19 | 16 |
| 9 | Dudelange | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Hostert | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Esch | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 12 | Victoria Rosport | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Rumelange | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:28 | 7 |
| 14 | Ettelbruck | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Wiltz | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15:28 | 4 |
| 16 | Hesperange | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2:38 | -12 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)
