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Stadium Background

Digiesse PraiaTortora vs Gela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Franchi E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Digiesse PraiaTortora in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Digiesse PraiaTortora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Digiesse PraiaTortora
35%
Draws
30%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gela lately — more wins on the board than Digiesse PraiaTortora.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Digiesse PraiaTortora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Digiesse PraiaTortora Clean Sheet 68%
Gela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Digiesse PraiaTortora Gela
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Digiesse PraiaTortora vs Gela
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Digiesse PraiaTortora 95 / 100
Gela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Digiesse PraiaTortora Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Digiesse PraiaTortora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Digiesse PraiaTortora scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Defensive concern: Gela conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Digiesse PraiaTortora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Digiesse PraiaTortora VS Gela
1.14 Goals Scored 0.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Digiesse PraiaTortora

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 2

Gela

(Away)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)