Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dijon vs Bourg Peronnas

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Hamada B.
Assist: Marie J.
45'
Muro R.
57' Event
Barreto M.
Assist: Tavares J.

AI Match Summary

Dijon in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dijon
6%
Draws
4%
Bourg Peronnas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bourg Peronnas haven't matched Dijon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dijon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%
Bourg Peronnas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Bourg Peronnas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Bourg Peronnas vs Dijon
1:2
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Bourg Peronnas
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Dijon
1:2
May 16, 2025 Ligue 3
Bourg Peronnas vs Dijon
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Bourg Peronnas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamada B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barreto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bourg Peronnas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 95 / 100
Bourg Peronnas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Bourg Peronnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dijon scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Dijon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bourg Peronnas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Bourg Peronnas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
Page 1 of 6

Bourg Peronnas

(Away)
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Sochaux
2 : 1
Bourg Peronnas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)