Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dijon vs Pau

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Barka Y. In: Dong T.
Out: Barka Y.
58'
Sub
Versini G. In: Benali H.
Out: Versini G.
58'
Sub
Lefebvre A. In: Leye B.
Out: Lefebvre A.

AI Match Summary

Pau in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dijon
20%
Draws
22%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pau haven't matched Dijon's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Dijon taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pau have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Pau
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Aug 6, 2022 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dijon
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dijon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 95 / 100
Pau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pau conceded in 65% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Dijon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Pau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Pau
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Montpellier
1 : 1
Dijon
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Pau 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Nancy 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)