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Dijon vs Pau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Barka Y. In: Dong T.
Out: Barka Y.
58'
Sub
Versini G. In: Benali H.
Out: Versini G.
58'
Sub
Lefebvre A. In: Leye B.
Out: Lefebvre A.

AI Match Summary

Pau in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dijon
30%
Draws
39%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pau haven't matched Dijon's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dijon taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pau have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dijon Clean Sheet 20%
Pau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Pau
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.96 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Aug 6, 2022 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dijon
0:0
Feb 12, 2022 Ligue 2
Dijon vs Pau
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dijon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Leye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 36 / 100
Pau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pau conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Dijon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Pau
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 1
Dijon
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)