Sport Picks

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Dila Gori vs Gagra

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Gurchiani L.
59'
Sub
Kobakhidze G. In: Menteshashvili L.
Out: Kobakhidze G.
59'
Sub
Parulava O. In: Grabovskis K.
Out: Parulava O.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Dila Gori and Gagra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dila Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dila Gori
20%
Draws
33%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dila Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dila Gori come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dila Gori's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dila Gori Clean Sheet 68%
Gagra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dila Gori Gagra
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Gagra
1:0
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dila Gori
2:0
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Gagra
1:1
Oct 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Gagra
5:0
Aug 10, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dila Gori
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dila Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Menteshashvili L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gagra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dila Gori 50 / 100
Gagra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dila Gori Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dila Gori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Dila Gori found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Dila Gori has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dila Gori VS Gagra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dila Gori

(Home)
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
26 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 1
Samgurali
22 Aug
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
16 Aug
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 7

Gagra

(Away)
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0
Dusheti
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0
Gagra
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 24 12 6 6 30:20 42
2 Dinamo Batumi 24 11 7 6 39:32 40
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 23 10 8 5 36:27 38
4 Iberia 1999 22 11 4 7 32:25 37
5 Dila Gori 23 10 3 10 28:24 33
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 24 8 8 8 37:28 32
7 Samgurali 24 9 5 10 33:43 32
8 Gagra 24 6 9 9 23:31 27
9 Spaeri 24 5 9 10 32:37 24
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 24 2 9 13 19:42 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)