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Dimitrovgrad vs Beroe II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Dimitrovgrad and Beroe II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dimitrovgrad
30%
Draws
12%
Beroe II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Dimitrovgrad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 14%
Beroe II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Beroe II
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.48 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.91 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Beroe II
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Dimitrovgrad
3:1
Feb 25, 2023 Third League - South-East
Beroe II vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0
Aug 13, 2022 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Beroe II
4:0
Apr 21, 2022 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Beroe II
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 84 / 100
Beroe II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Beroe II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Beroe II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Dimitrovgrad scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dimitrovgrad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
Page 1 of 7

Beroe II

(Away)
31 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
25 May
Botev II
5 : 0
Beroe II
18 May
Beroe II
0 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2
Beroe II
11 May
Beroe II
0 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 29 8 1 121:39 95
2 OFC Haskovo 38 30 3 5 97:26 93
3 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 6 3 122:22 93
4 Gigant Saedinenie 38 21 8 9 81:43 71
5 Zagorets 38 21 6 11 79:42 69
6 Dimitrovgrad 38 19 10 9 60:40 67
7 Botev II 38 18 7 13 84:55 61
8 Atletik Kuklen 38 18 4 16 60:71 58
9 Rozova Dolina 38 17 5 16 60:50 56
10 Rodopa Smolyan 38 15 6 17 64:63 51
11 Asenovets 38 14 6 18 59:73 48
12 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 14 5 19 65:59 47
13 Sozopol 38 12 10 16 57:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 7 20 59:75 40
15 Levski Karlovo 38 11 5 22 56:91 38
16 Yambol 1915 38 9 10 19 49:82 37
17 Karnobat 38 11 1 26 46:106 34
18 Sliven 38 8 6 24 42:127 30
19 Sokol Markovo 38 8 3 27 36:98 27
20 Beroe II 38 6 2 30 26:108 20
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)