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Dimitrovgrad vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2022/2023 game between Dimitrovgrad and Borislav Parvomay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dimitrovgrad
20%
Draws
16%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dimitrovgrad's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dimitrovgrad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 13%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.3 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Borislav Parvomay
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Dimitrovgrad
0:2
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Dimitrovgrad
0:4
Oct 23, 2021 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Borislav Parvomay
2:1
Apr 29, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 57 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borislav Parvomay has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Dimitrovgrad's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Borislav Parvomay lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
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Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)