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Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dimitrovgrad host Rodopa Smolyan in the Third League - South-East. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Dimitrovgrad at 1.31 goals for, 2.14 against; Rodopa Smolyan at 1.47 for, 1.77 against. Past meetings favor Dimitrovgrad slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.75) back Rodopa Smolyan to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dimitrovgrad
35%
Draws
32%
Rodopa Smolyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rodopa Smolyan have won more games recently than Dimitrovgrad.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 12%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Rodopa Smolyan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Dimitrovgrad
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rodopa Smolyan
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 30 / 100
Rodopa Smolyan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Rodopa Smolyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodopa Smolyan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Dimitrovgrad scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Dimitrovgrad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Rodopa Smolyan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
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Rodopa Smolyan

(Away)
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0
OFC Haskovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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