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Dimitrovgrad vs Sportist Roza Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dimitrovgrad in this Third League - South-East 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dimitrovgrad
15%
Draws
0%
Sportist Roza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dimitrovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad have won more games recently than Sportist Roza.
  • Dimitrovgrad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 13%
Sportist Roza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Sportist Roza
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.42 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sportist Roza vs Dimitrovgrad
0:3
Dec 3, 2011 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Sportist Roza
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 84 / 100
Sportist Roza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Sportist Roza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportist Roza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Sportist Roza lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Dimitrovgrad found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
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Sportist Roza

(Away)
01 Jun
Sportist Roza
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
27 May
Sozopol
7 : 0
Sportist Roza
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
6 : 0
Sportist Roza
20 May
Sportist Roza
2 : 5
Asenovets
05 May
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Sportist Roza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)