Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Din. Minsk vs BATE

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 National Stadium, Minsk
Din. Minsk Logo

Din. Minsk

Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 2
12:30 PM
BATE Logo

BATE

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Sokolovskiy A.
29'
Mardas M.
32'
Begunov R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BATE in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Din. Minsk
20%
Draws
29%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Minsk have won more games recently than BATE.
  • Win probability leans Din. Minsk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Din. Minsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Din. Minsk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 68%
BATE Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk BATE
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.57 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs BATE
2:0
May 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Din. Minsk
0:0
May 16, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs BATE
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Din. Minsk vs BATE
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Din. Minsk
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolovskiy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Apanasevich K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 95 / 100
BATE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Din. Minsk scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

BATE has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Din. Minsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS BATE
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
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BATE

(Away)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2