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Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Stadion Dinamo, Minsk
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belarusian Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Din. Minsk at 1.63 goals for, 0.5 against; ML Vitebsk at 2.13 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Din. Minsk have won 2 to ML Vitebsk's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.31, favoring Din. Minsk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Din. Minsk
11%
Draws
9%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Din. Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Minsk come out ahead of ML Vitebsk on wins alone.
  • Din. Minsk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Din. Minsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ML Vitebsk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 18%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:1
Jul 3, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 76 / 100
ML Vitebsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Minsk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Din. Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS ML Vitebsk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
16 Jul
Sileks
0 : 2
Din. Minsk
09 Jul
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Sileks
02 Jul
FC Minsk
0 : 3
Din. Minsk
27 Jun
Din. Minsk
1 : 1
Vitebsk
21 Jun
Neman
1 : 3
Din. Minsk
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1
Naftan
21 Jun
FC Minsk
2 : 2
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/16-finals
FK Lida0
Zhodino4
Molodechno1
BATE4
FC Slonim0
Isloch Minsk1
Uni X Labs1
FK Baranovici4
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
BumProm Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Soligorsk1
Neman2
Krumkachy0
Dynamo Brest5
Ostrovets2
Vitebsk3
Orsha3
Naftan2
Niva Dolbizno2
FC Gomel3
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr5
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
Smorgon3
FC Minsk4
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Belshina8
Osipovichi1
Dnepr Mogilev3
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-