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Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Stadion Dinamo, Minsk
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Din. Minsk at 1.57 goals for, 0.79 against; ML Vitebsk at 1.86 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Din. Minsk have won 2 to ML Vitebsk's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.94, favoring Din. Minsk. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Din. Minsk
35%
Draws
37%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Minsk come out ahead of ML Vitebsk on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Din. Minsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ML Vitebsk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:0
May 3, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 32 / 100
ML Vitebsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Minsk found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Din. Minsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS ML Vitebsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
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ML Vitebsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -