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Stadium Background

Din. Minsk vs Neftci Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Breno Almeida
24'
Sokolovskiy A.
30'
Gravillon A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Din. Minsk
20%
Draws
40%
Neftci Baku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Neftci Baku average 2.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Din. Minsk's 1.58.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Neftci Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 16%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk Neftci Baku
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.58 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Conference League
Din. Minsk vs Neftci Baku
0:1
Jul 22, 2026 Conference League
Neftci Baku vs Din. Minsk
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Minsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno Almeida
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 31 / 100
Neftci Baku 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk Neftci Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Din. Minsk's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Neftci Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Din. Minsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS Neftci Baku
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Din. Minsk
3 : 0
Uni X Labs
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
Page 1 of 7

Neftci Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
05 Sept
Neftci Baku
4 : 1
Safa Baku
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
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Borac Banja Luka -
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Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
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Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
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Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
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Vardar -
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Riga FC -
Bissen -
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Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
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Larne -
HJK -
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Coleraine -
Motherwell -
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HB Torshavn -
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Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
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Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
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FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
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Tromso -
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Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
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Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
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CSKA 1948 Sofia -
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Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
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Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
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GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
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Varazdin -
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Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
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Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
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Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
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FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
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Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
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Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
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Sion -
Vojvodina -
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Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
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Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
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Austria Vienna -
Twente -
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Dun. Streda -
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Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
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Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
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Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
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Tobol -
Lugano -
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Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
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Koper -
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Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
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Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
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Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
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Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2