Sport Picks
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand 
Match Events
8'
8'
Abduraymov S.
12'
12'
Amonov A.
(Penalty)
17'
17'
Khadzhiev R.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Din. Samarkand and Mashal Muborak finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Samarkand.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Samarkand
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mashal Muborak haven't matched Din. Samarkand's recent run of results.
- Model gives Din. Samarkand a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Din. Samarkand have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 20%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Din. Samarkand | Mashal Muborak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
3:1
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Din. Samarkand
2:4
Mar 15, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Mar 16, 2023 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Din. Samarkand
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Tukhtasinov N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Mashal Muborak Compare
Top Goalscorer Khadzhiev R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Din. Samarkand 85 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Din. Samarkand Mashal Muborak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Din. Samarkand's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mashal Muborak let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Mashal Muborak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Din. Samarkand VS Mashal Muborak
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Din. Samarkand
(Home) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
29 Jul
Din. Samarkand
3 : 2 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 3
Mashal Muborak
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
14 Aug
Qizilqum
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
