Sport Picks
Din. Samarkand vs Neftchi Fargona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand 
Match Events
17'
17'
Abduganiyev N.
43'
43'
Abdurakhmonov F.
46'
46'
Sub
Abduganiyev N. In: Odilov A.
Out: Abduganiyev N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neftchi Fargona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Neftchi Fargona have won more games recently than Din. Samarkand.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Neftchi Fargona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 13%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Din. Samarkand | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Jul 2, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Din. Samarkand
3:2
Mar 10, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Din. Samarkand 31 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Din. Samarkand Neftchi Fargona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftchi Fargona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Din. Samarkand scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Din. Samarkand stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Din. Samarkand VS Neftchi Fargona
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Din. Samarkand
(Home) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
29 Jul
Din. Samarkand
3 : 2 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 3
Neftchi Fargona
(Away) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Andijan
0 : 3 Neftchi Fargona
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
