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Stadium Background

Din. Zagreb vs Istra 1961 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb host Istra 1961 in the HNL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Din. Zagreb have averaged 2.82 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Istra 1961's 1.63 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Din. Zagreb have won 3 to Istra 1961's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Din. Zagreb. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Din. Zagreb
15%
Draws
36%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb have won more games recently than Istra 1961.
  • Model gives Din. Zagreb a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 14%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Istra 1961
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.82 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
2:2
Apr 22, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Istra 1961
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Din. Zagreb
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Istra 1961
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 57 / 100
Istra 1961 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Istra 1961 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Din. Zagreb has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Istra 1961
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
18 Oct
Slaven Belupo
1 : 5
Din. Zagreb
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
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Istra 1961

(Away)
17 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
2 : 0
Istra 1961
10 Oct
Osijek
1 : 3
Istra 1961
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 10 7 1 2 19:9 22
2 Din. Zagreb 9 6 1 2 23:12 19
3 Varazdin 10 5 3 2 14:8 18
4 Osijek 10 5 2 3 19:15 17
5 Rijeka 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
6 Istra 1961 10 3 3 4 17:16 12
7 Lok. Zagreb 10 3 1 6 13:17 10
8 Slaven Belupo 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
9 Rudes 10 2 1 7 13:27 7
10 HNK Gorica 10 1 3 6 7:15 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)