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Din. Zagreb vs Nijmegen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb host Nijmegen in the Europa League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Din. Zagreb have averaged 2.52 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Nijmegen's 1.62 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Din. Zagreb have won 1 to Nijmegen's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 23, 2008, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.13, favoring Din. Zagreb. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Din. Zagreb
35%
Draws
19%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Din. Zagreb a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Nijmegen
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2008 Europa League
Din. Zagreb vs Nijmegen
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 85 / 100
Nijmegen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Nijmegen conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Din. Zagreb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Nijmegen
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Nijmegen

(Away)
10 Oct
Ajax
1 : 1
Nijmegen
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)