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Dinamo Baki vs Sabail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mammadov O.
25' Event
Masimov V.
39' Event
Asadov G.

AI Match Summary

Sabail in this Azerbaijan Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Dinamo Baki
30%
Draws
62%
Sabail
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabail lately — more wins on the board than Dinamo Baki.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Sabail taking it.
  • Sabail arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabail, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Dinamo Baki Clean Sheet 20%
Sabail Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Baki Sabail
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Dinamo Baki vs Sabail
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Baki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sabail Compare

Top Goalscorer Asadov G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mammadov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Baki 10 / 100
Sabail 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Baki Sabail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Dinamo Baki's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sabail conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Dinamo Baki has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sabail
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Baki

(Home)
28 Oct
Dinamo Baki
0 : 5
Turan
29 Oct
Dinamo Baki
0 : 6
Sabail
20 Mar
Gabala
2 : 1
Dinamo Baki
06 Mar
Dinamo Baki
1 : 1
Gabala
31 Oct
FK Samaxi
2 : 0
Dinamo Baki
Page 1 of 4

Sabail

(Away)
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sahdag Qusar 0
Araz PFK 4
Mingachevir 1
Zaqatala PFK 0
Zira FK -
TBD -
Shamakhi 6
Shamkir 1
Lokbatan 3
Karvan 0
Dinamo Baki 0
Sabail 6
Gabala 4
Baku Sporting 0
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Agdash 0
Kapaz 6
Imisli FK 5
Gancabasar 1
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Safa Baku 2
Difai Agsu 3
Turan 7
Hypers Guba 2
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
SumQayit FK -
TBD -
MOIK Baku 3
Shimal 1
1/8-finals
Araz PFK 3
Mingachevir 1
Zira FK 3
Shamakhi 1
Lokbatan 0
Sabail 2
Gabala 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
Kapaz 1
Imisli FK 0
Neftci Baku 6
Difai Agsu 0
Turan 2
Sabah Baku 3
SumQayit FK 3
MOIK Baku 1
Quarter-finals
Araz PFK 3
Zira FK 0
Sabail 1
Qarabag Agdam 4
Kapaz 0
Neftci Baku 3
Sabah Baku 4
SumQayit FK 0
Semi-finals
Araz PFK 1
Qarabag Agdam 3
Neftci Baku 2
Sabah Baku 3
Final
Qarabag Agdam 2
Sabah Baku 3