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Dinamo Riga vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kurtiss M.
33' Event
Kurtiss M.
45' Event
Kurtiss M.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2023 game between Dinamo Riga and Grobina finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dinamo Riga
20%
Draws
80%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grobina come out ahead of Dinamo Riga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grobina a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Grobina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Dinamo Riga Clean Sheet 27%
Grobina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Riga Grobina
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 12
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2023 1. Liga
Dinamo Riga vs Grobina
0:6
Apr 7, 2023 1. Liga
Grobina vs Dinamo Riga
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 1. Liga
Grobina vs Dinamo Riga
5:0
May 22, 2022 1. Liga
Dinamo Riga vs Grobina
0:3
Oct 23, 2021 1. Liga
Dinamo Riga vs Grobina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Druzinins D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Riga 10 / 100
Grobina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Riga Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobina has conceded goals in 68% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dinamo Riga scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Grobina registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Riga

(Home)
18 May
Dinamo Riga
1 : 3
Iecava
12 Nov
Riga FC 2
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
04 Nov
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
Rezekne
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
21 Oct
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)