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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kaspij Aktau Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi host Kaspij Aktau in the Club Friendly. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Dinamo Tbilisi at 1.76 goals for, 1.31 against; Kaspij Aktau at 1.11 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Dinamo Tbilisi slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.56) back Dinamo Tbilisi to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dinamo Tbilisi
30%
Draws
27%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinamo Tbilisi come out ahead of Kaspij Aktau on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Dinamo Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 15%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kaspij Aktau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 84 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dinamo Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS Kaspij Aktau
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Home)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
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Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
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