Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kaspij Aktau

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Feb 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi host Kaspij Aktau in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dinamo Tbilisi at 2.25 goals for, 1.25 against; Kaspij Aktau at 1.13 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Dinamo Tbilisi slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.19) back Dinamo Tbilisi to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dinamo Tbilisi
39%
Draws
31%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaspij Aktau come out ahead of Dinamo Tbilisi on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Kaspij Aktau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 31 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Kaspij Aktau let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Dinamo Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS Kaspij Aktau
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Home)
23 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 1
Mondorf
09 Jul
Mondorf
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 0
Dila Gori
27 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
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Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
11 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Ordabasy
05 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
27 Jun
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 0
Atyrau
20 Jun
Ordabasy
2 : 0
Kaspij Aktau
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