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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi host Spaeri in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Dinamo Tbilisi at 1.65 goals for, 1.23 against; Spaeri at 1.34 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Dinamo Tbilisi slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.44) point toward Dinamo Tbilisi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Dinamo Tbilisi
35%
Draws
10%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Dinamo Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dinamo Tbilisi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 16%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Spaeri
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
May 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
Dec 5, 2024 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 84 / 100
Spaeri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Dinamo Tbilisi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS Spaeri
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Home)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
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Spaeri

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)