Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinamo Tirana vs KF Egnatia

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup Air Albania Stadium, Tirana
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Bakayoko S.
9'
Sub
Teqja A. In: Kiri T.
Out: Teqja A.
36' Event
Ayodeji M.
Assist: Nani T.

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tirana in this Albanian Cup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dinamo Tirana
28%
Draws
50%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • KF Egnatia average 2.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Dinamo Tirana's 1.5.
  • Model gives KF Egnatia a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Dinamo Tirana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 10%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tirana KF Egnatia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
2:0
May 13, 2026 Albanian Cup
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Egnatia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Egnatia
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 Super Cup
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayodeji M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bregu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Buric N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adjessa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tirana 22 / 100
KF Egnatia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tirana KF Egnatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tirana scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

KF Egnatia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dinamo Tirana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tirana VS KF Egnatia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tirana

(Home)
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 6

KF Egnatia

(Away)
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
27 Jun
FC Botosani
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
31 May
KF Egnatia
2 : 0
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca5
Basania FC2
Iliria Kruja5
Luzi1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje5
Shkumbini Peqin0
Kukesi3
Terbuni Puka1
Bylis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Laci3
Kelcyra0
AF Luftetari2
KF Oriku0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Delvina0
Korabi Peshkopi4
Koplik1
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Maliqi2
Erzeni Shijak0
Librazhd2
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Beselidhja Lezha0
Lushnja2
Butrinti Sarande1
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari5
Kucove0
KF Valbona-
Tomori Berat-
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burreli3
Albanet1
Kastrioti3
KS Devolli2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Iliria Kruja2
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje3
Kukesi1
Bylis-
TBD-
Laci2
AF Luftetari0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Korabi Peshkopi3
Teuta-
TBD-
Vora2
Librazhd1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Lushnja2
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
Flamurtari9
Tomori Berat0
Partizani-
TBD-
Burreli5
Kastrioti2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana2
Skenderbeu Korca1
Dinamo Tirana3
Besa Kavaje0
Bylis3
Laci2
Vllaznia1
Pogradeci0
Teuta2
Vora0
KF Egnatia1
Apolonia Fier0
AF Elbasani2
Flamurtari1
Partizani3
Burreli0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana0
Dinamo Tirana4
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Teuta1
KF Egnatia2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Tirana2
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia3
AF Elbasani2
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2