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Stadium Background

Dinan vs Bordeaux

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lefebvre V.
42' Event
Openda R.
72' Event
Etonde L.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Dinan and Bordeaux finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dinan
20%
Draws
45%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinan haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bordeaux here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dinan Clean Sheet 11%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Bordeaux
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Bordeaux
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Dinan
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Dinan
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Bordeaux
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefebvre V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Etonde L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 35 / 100
Bordeaux 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinan found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Bordeaux let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Dinan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dinan VS Bordeaux
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinan

(Home)
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Dinan
16 May
Dinan
3 : 1
Angouleme CFC
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Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)