Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinan vs Bordeaux

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade du Clos Gastel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinan play Bordeaux in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinan averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Bordeaux averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Dinan won 1, Bordeaux won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dinan and 1.69 for Bordeaux. This points to a Bordeaux double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dinan
15%
Draws
53%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Dinan picked up more points recently compared to Bordeaux.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Dinan Clean Sheet 13%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Bordeaux
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Dinan vs Bordeaux
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Dinan
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Dinan
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Dinan vs Bordeaux
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lefebvre V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Etonde L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 31 / 100
Bordeaux 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Bordeaux

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bordeaux & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinan attacking → ← attacking Bordeaux

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinan scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Bordeaux let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Dinan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bordeaux lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 67
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325