Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinan vs Saint-Malo

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade du Clos Gastel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinan play Saint-Malo in the National 2 - Group A. Dinan are favorites here. Recently, Dinan averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Saint-Malo averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Dinan won 2, Saint-Malo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Dinan and 1.00 for Saint-Malo. This points to a Dinan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dinan
25%
Draws
15%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dinan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Dinan picked up more points recently compared to Saint-Malo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Dinan Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Saint-Malo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Dinan
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Dinan
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 National 2 - Group C
Dinan vs Saint-Malo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Leroyer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 59 / 100
Saint-Malo 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Saint-Malo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Dinan & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinan attacking → ← attacking Saint-Malo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinan scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Saint-Malo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dinan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saint-Malo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 51
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325