Sport Picks

Wales

Division 1

Pontardawe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dinas Powys play Pontardawe in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinas Powys averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. Pontardawe averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Dinas Powys won 0, Pontardawe won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Dinas Powys and 1.94 for Pontardawe. This points to a Pontardawe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Dinas Powys

21%

Draws

47%

Pontardawe

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Pontardawe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Dinas Powys picked up more points recently compared to Pontardawe.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Dinas Powys Clean Sheet 10%

Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dinas Powys	Pontardawe
Matches Played	19	37
Wins	5	13
Draws	3	9
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.79	1.84
Goals Conceded	2.74	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2020 Division 1

Pontardawe vs Dinas Powys

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jan 4, 2020 Division 1

Dinas Powys vs Pontardawe

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinas Powys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Pontardawe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinas Powys 31 / 100

Pontardawe 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dinas Powys Pontardawe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pontardawe or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinas Powys attacking → ← attacking Pontardawe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinas Powys scored in 100% of their last 19 games.

Pontardawe let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Dinas Powys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pontardawe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 48

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75