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Dinaz Vyshgorod vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup Dinaz Stadium, Demydiv
Dinaz Vyshgorod Logo

Dinaz Vyshgorod

0 - 6
FT
Fenix Mariupol Logo

Fenix Mariupol

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sydorenko V.
71' Event
Kucherov V.
72' Event
Orikhovskyi P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. The second leg ended 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dinaz Vyshgorod
35%
Draws
40%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fenix Mariupol a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Fenix Mariupol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fenix Mariupol, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fenix Mariupol here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dinaz Vyshgorod Clean Sheet 10%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinaz Vyshgorod Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.18 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Dinaz Vyshgorod vs Fenix Mariupol
0:6
Oct 20, 2024 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Dinaz Vyshgorod
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Persha Liga
Dinaz Vyshgorod vs Fenix Mariupol
1:4
Nov 12, 2023 Persha Liga
Dinaz Vyshgorod vs Fenix Mariupol
1:2
Sep 8, 2023 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Dinaz Vyshgorod
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinaz Vyshgorod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucherov V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kyslenko S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinaz Vyshgorod 26 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinaz Vyshgorod Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Fenix Mariupol has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Dinaz Vyshgorod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dinaz Vyshgorod's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dinaz Vyshgorod VS Fenix Mariupol
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinaz Vyshgorod

(Home)
03 Oct
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
13 Sept
Bratslav Vinnytsia
2 : 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod
04 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
2 : 2
FC Vilkhivtsi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
Page 1 of 6

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -