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Diriangen vs Esteli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Diriangen Logo

Diriangen

1 - 2
FT
Esteli Logo

Esteli

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Casado E.
32' Event
Quijano J.
79' Event
Galvaliz M.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esteli in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Diriangen
15%
Draws
31%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Diriangen have won more games recently than Esteli.
  • Model gives Diriangen a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 16%
Esteli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Esteli
Matches Played 37 37
Wins 23 21
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.05 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:2
Aug 23, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
0:2
May 17, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:2
May 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diriangen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Casado E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quijano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 48 / 100
Esteli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Esteli conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Diriangen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS Esteli
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diriangen

(Home)
25 Oct
Diriangen
3 : 1
Sport Sebaco
19 Oct
Rancho Santana
0 : 1
Diriangen
14 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Diriangen
11 Oct
Diriangen
2 : 4
Walter Ferreti
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

Esteli

(Away)
26 Oct
Esteli
2 : 1
Managua FC
18 Oct
Walter Ferreti
3 : 1
Esteli
16 Oct
Esteli
1 : 1
Jalapa
11 Oct
Matagalpa
1 : 4
Esteli
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 15 12 2 1 45:15 38
2 Diriangen 15 11 2 2 32:15 35
3 Esteli 15 8 4 3 27:14 28
4 UNAN-Managua 14 7 3 4 17:15 24
5 Walter Ferreti 14 6 2 6 30:23 20
6 Sport Sebaco 14 5 2 7 15:27 17
7 Jalapa 15 4 3 8 15:19 15
8 San Marcos 14 3 2 9 13:24 11
9 Matagalpa 14 3 1 10 7:31 10
10 Rancho Santana 14 1 3 10 10:28 6
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)