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Diriangen vs San Marcos

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Diriangen and San Marcos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Diriangen
40%
Draws
29%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Diriangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen San Marcos
Matches Played 33 10
Wins 21 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs San Marcos
3-2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Diriangen
3-2
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs San Marcos
1-2
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Diriangen
0-2
Jan 12, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs San Marcos
3-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 32 / 100
San Marcos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen San Marcos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Diriangen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS San Marcos
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen00000:00
2Walter Ferreti00000:00
3Esteli00000:00
4Managua FC00000:00
5UNAN-Managua00000:00
6Jalapa00000:00
7San Marcos00000:00
8Sport Sebaco00000:00
9Matagalpa00000:00
10Rancho Santana00000:00